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Snapshot
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation view | Fairly valued (+6.2% to fair value) |
| Current price | S$29.00 (9 Oct 2026 close; 16.2x forward P/E) |
| 12-month fair value | S$30.80 (40% DCF / 30% residual income / 30% peers) |
| Bear–bull range | S$24.15 (−16.7%) to S$36.11 (+24.5%) |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% (trailing 12 months: 42c final + 16c special + 47c interim) |
Key takeaways
- Fairly valued: our fair value of S$30.80 is +6.2% above the S$29.00 close, inside a bear–bull range of S$24.15–S$36.11.
- Earnings are strong but rate-sensitive: 1H26 net profit hit a record S$4.19bn (+13%) and ROE 13.7%, yet net interest margin fell 25bp to 1.73% and net interest income dropped 3%.
- The price already assumes a lot: after a +46.8% run this year the shares trade at 2.11x book and 16.2x FY26E earnings; the price implies a 7.4% discount rate against our 6.3% cost of equity.
The Verdict
Fairly valued — fair value S$30.80 (range S$24.15–S$36.11), +6.2% vs S$29.00 (9 Oct 2026 close).
What is working: non-interest income rose 36% in 1H26 to S$3.51bn (44% of income), driven by record wealth fees, trading and a 49% jump in Great Eastern insurance income, which more than offset falling interest income [S2]. Credit is clean (NPL 0.9%, 2Q26 credit cost 14bp) and CET1 is 15.7% [S2]. What the price already assumes: the shares are up +46.8% this year (from S$19.76 on 31 Dec 2025) and sit −11.0% below the S$32.57 high of 4 Sep 2026 [S1]; at S$29.00 investors are paying 2.11x book for a bank earning a 13–14% ROE, which is consistent with a 7.4% required return on our base-case earnings path. The single factor that decides it is whether fee, wealth and insurance income keep growing fast enough to offset net interest margin compression as Singapore-dollar deposit costs rise — the reason Citi cut the stock to Sell (target S$27.50) on 7 Oct [S19].
Recent Developments (last 12 months)
| Date | Event | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | 3Q25 net profit S$1.98bn, flat YoY; NIM 1.84% [S30] | Base quarter for the 3Q26 comparison |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Maybank IB upgrade to Buy, target S$17.78→S$20.52 [S33] | Start of the broker re-rating as the shares broke out |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Tan Teck Long succeeds Helen Wong as Group CEO [S23] | First year under new CEO; strategy continuity |
| 25 Feb 2026 | FY25 net profit S$7.42bn (−2%); FY25 dividend 99c incl. 16c special; 60% payout [S5] | Special dividend is part of the S$2.5bn capital return due by FY26 |
| Mar–May 2026 | Buybacks: S$116m in 1Q26 [S25]; 447,300 shares at S$22.86 on 18 May under new mandate [S24] | Buybacks are a small part of the capital return so far |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Ex-date for 42c final + 16c special (paid 8 May) [S1] | Cash returned: 58c per share |
| 4 May 2026 | Agreed to buy HSBC’s Indonesia wealth and premier banking business (S$6.6bn AUM; price NOT FOUND) [S22] | Adds to the wealth engine in Indonesia |
| 8 May 2026 | 1Q26 net profit S$1.97bn (+5%); NIM 1.76% [S4] | Margin decline under way |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2Q26 net profit S$2.22bn (+22% YoY) vs S$1.95bn Bloomberg consensus; interim dividend 47c (ex 17 Aug, paid 28 Aug) [S2][S16][S18] | Record half; loan-growth guidance raised to high-single to low-double digit [S3] |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Phillip Securities: Accumulate, target S$28.50→S$31.70 [S17] | Brokers chase the re-rating |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Record close S$32.27, intraday high S$32.57 [S1] | 52-week high; the stock is now 11.0% below it |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 10-year strategic cooperation renewed with Bank of Ningbo (stake stays 20%) [S21] | Keeps the China associate partnership in place for another decade |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Citi cuts to Sell, target S$27.50, citing flat 3Q26 earnings and higher SGD deposit costs; shares −5.9% to S$30.30 [S19][S1] | Biggest one-day fall of the year; RHB and UOB Kay Hian stay positive [S20] |
| 8–9 Oct 2026 | Close S$29.00 both days; 24.4m and 9.9m shares traded [S1] | Price used in this report |
| Early Nov 2026 (TBC) | 3Q26 results; date not yet announced (3Q25 was 7 Nov) [S32] | Next test of NIM and fee momentum |
Insider dealings: NOT FOUND (see Section 2).
Key Numbers
| Metric | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E | 16.2x | FY26E consensus EPS S$1.79 [S13]; FY27E 15.0x |
| P/B | 2.11x | Book value per share S$13.73 (latest) [S12] |
| Income growth | +11% | 1H26 total income S$8.00bn [S2] |
| Cost of equity | 6.3% | rf 2.45% + 0.77 × 5% ERP |
| ROE / NIM | 13.7% | 1H26 ROE; NIM 1.73% (−25bp) [S2] |
| From 52-week high | −11.0% | 52-week range S$16.62–32.57 [S1] |
1. Business & Moat
OCBC is Singapore’s second-largest bank by market value, with banking franchises in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Greater China, a private bank (Bank of Singapore), a 93.7% stake in insurer Great Eastern at end-FY25 (a free-float share issue may reduce it) and a 20% stake in Bank of Ningbo [S7][S21][S29]. Customer loans were S$364bn and deposits S$459bn at 30 June 2026 (loan-to-deposit 78.4%, CASA 49.3%) [S2][S3]. Group wealth-management income was S$3.29bn in 1H26, 41% of total income, and banking wealth AUM reached S$350bn [S2].
| Segment (FY25 profit before tax) | S$m | Share | FY24 S$m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Wholesale Banking | 3,588 | 39.3% | 3,456 |
| Global Consumer/Private Banking | 2,209 | 24.2% | 2,171 |
| Insurance | 1,491 | 16.3% | 1,190 |
| Global Markets | 948 | 10.4% | 566 |
| Others | 887 | 9.7% | 1,593 |
Source: OCBC Annual Report 2025 MD&A [S7]. Segment split for 1H26 NOT FOUND.
Guidance (FY26, updated Aug 2026): loan growth high-single to low-double digit (raised from mid-single); total income to grow; NII to decline slightly; cost-to-income in the low-40% range; credit costs 20–25bp; 50% ordinary payout [S3]. No numeric NIM or ROE target.



Porter’s Five Forces
| Force | Rating | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Rivalry | High | DBS and UOB compete for the same Singapore deposits, mortgages and wealth clients; deposit pricing is the battleground now |
| Threat of new entrants | Low–medium | Digital banks hold licences, but the capital, trust and deposit base needed are large; incumbents still dominate deposits |
| Buyer power | Medium | Large corporates and wealthy clients shop on price; retail deposits are sticky but moving to fixed deposits as rates rise |
| Supplier power (funding) | Medium–high | Depositors’ bargaining power rises with rates — the Citi thesis on SGD fixed-deposit costs |
| Substitutes | Medium | Bond markets, private credit and fintech payments compete; the insurance and private-bank arms capture some of that flow |
Moat verdict: narrow-to-wide. Scale in Singapore deposits, a three-engine model (bank, private bank, insurer) and regulatory barriers give durable returns above the cost of equity (ROE 12.6–13.7% over FY23–1H26 [S6][S2]), but net interest income still swings with rates.
2. Leadership & Capital Allocation
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Group CEO | Tan Teck Long, since 1 Jan 2026 (succeeded Helen Wong) [S23][S11] |
| Group CFO | Goh Chin Yee, since Nov 2022 [S11] |
| Chairman | Andrew Lee (non-executive, independent; chairman since 1 Feb 2023) [S23][S34] |
| Control | Selat (Pte) Ltd 14.44% total interest (10.41% direct, about 4.05% deemed); Lee Foundation 5.13%; public float ~72% (25 Feb 2026) [S10] |
| Pay | FY25 CEO (Helen Wong) total S$12m, −6.3%; current CEO pay NOT FOUND [S27] |
| Returns vs hurdle | ROE 13.7% in 1H26 vs our 6.3% cost of equity and 7.4% market-implied rate [S2] |
| Dividends vs policy | 50% ordinary payout policy; FY25 total 99c (60% incl. special); 1H26 interim 47c at 50% [S5][S16] |
| Capital return | S$2.5bn via specials and buybacks to be completed by FY26; progress total NOT FOUND [S2][S5] |
| Buybacks | S$116m in 1Q26 [S25]; 447,300 shares on 18 May 2026 [S24] |
| Capital | CET1 15.7% (14.0% fully phased-in) at 30 Jun 2026 [S2] |
| Dilution | Share count ~4.49bn, stable; no scrip for the 1H26 interim [S10][S2] |
| M&A | HSBC Indonesia wealth business (May 2026) [S22]; Great Eastern minority buyout failed in 2025 [S29] |
Insider check: NOT FOUND — SGXNet director-dealing and substantial-shareholder filings for Oct 2025–Oct 2026 could not be retrieved, and searches of The Edge and Business Times showed no reported open-market dealings; we cannot confirm either way.
3. Financial Health
| S$m | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | 1H26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 10,596 | 11,286 | 13,507 | 14,473 | 14,614 | 8,000 |
| Net interest income | 5,860 | 7,688 | 9,645 | 9,755 | 9,150 | 4,490 |
| Net profit | 4,858 | 5,526 | 7,021 | 7,587 | 7,422 | 4,190 |
| NIM | NOT FOUND | 1.91% | 2.28% | 2.20% | 1.91% | 1.73% |
| ROE | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| CET1 | 15.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| NPL ratio | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| DPS (cents) | 53 | 68 | 82 | 101 | 99 | 47 (interim) |
| NAV per share (S$) | 11.46 | 10.99 | 11.77 | 12.80 | 13.38 | 13.73 |
Sources: S6 (5-year), S7–S9 (NII, NIM, CET1), S2 (1H26), S12 (book value per share at 1H26). Stockanalysis reports net profit on a slightly different basis; OCBC’s own figures are used. 1H26 NAV per share is the latest book value per share from S12.

- Mix is shifting: non-interest income was 44% of 1H26 income; 2Q26 trading income was a record S$695m, which is the least repeatable line [S2].
- Costs under control: cost-to-income fell to 37.8% in 2Q26 from 39.1% a year earlier [S2].
- Credit is benign: 2Q26 credit cost 14bp, below the 20–25bp guidance; NPA coverage 163% [S2][S3].
- Capital is being drawn down: CET1 fell from 17.0% (1Q26) to 15.7% (2Q26) [S4][S2], which limits room for further special returns.
4. Risks
Macro & regulatory
- Serious: margin squeeze — NIM fell from 1.98% to 1.73% year on year in 1H26 and Citi expects higher SGD fixed-deposit costs to compress it further [S2][S19].
- Watch: Greater China exposure — S$1.67bn of FY25 profit before tax came from Greater China [S7]; a credit cycle there would lift provisions.
Operational & competitive
- Serious: trading and insurance income are volatile — 2Q26 record trading income (S$695m) may not repeat [S2].
- Watch: deposit competition from DBS, UOB and digital banks.
Financial & governance
- Watch: capital return delivery — S$2.5bn promised by FY26, progress not disclosed [S2].
- Watch: valuation risk — the stock trades at 2.11x book after a +46.8% rise; a de-rating to the peer median P/B (1.39x) would be a large fall.
5. Catalysts
| When | Measurable test | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Early Nov 2026 (TBC) | 3Q26 net profit ≥ S$2.00bn (3Q25: S$1.98bn) | 55% |
| Early Nov 2026 (TBC) | 3Q26 NIM ≤ 1.70% | 65% |
| Feb 2027 | FY26 final + special ≥ 60c, completing the S$2.5bn return | 50% |
| Feb 2027 | FY27 guidance: NII stable or growing | 35% |
Bull case vs consensus: consensus FY26/FY27 EPS is S$1.79/S$1.93 [S13], but 1H26 already ran at S$1.86 annualised [S2]; if wealth momentum holds, FY26 beats consensus and our bull value of S$36.11 comes into play.
6. Valuation Suite
6a. Cost of Capital
| Input | Value | Source / note |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-free | 2.45% | Singapore 10-year government yield, 9 Oct 2026 [S15] |
| Own 2-yr weekly beta vs STI | 1.17 | IBKR weekly closes, O39 vs ES3 (SPDR STI ETF as index proxy), 104 weeks [S1] |
| Peer median beta (check) | 0.16 | stockanalysis published betas, 8 peers [S14] |
| Raw beta used | 0.66 | Differ by more than 0.3, so averaged (spec rule) |
| Adjusted beta (0.67×raw+0.33) | 0.77 | Blume adjustment |
| Equity risk premium | 5.0% | Developed market |
| Size/illiquidity premium | 0.0% | Large cap, US$160m (about S$205m) 90-day average daily value [S1] |
| Cost of equity | 6.32% | Used in DCF, residual income and peer discounting |
| Debt weight / after-tax cost of debt | n/a | Bank: debt is operating funding |
| WACC | n/a — FCFE at cost of equity | Bank method |
6b. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
| Year | Opening book/sh (S$) | ROE | EPS (S$) | Book growth (= RWA) | FCFE/sh (S$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027E | 14.12 | 13.7% | 1.93 | 7.0% | 0.94 |
| 2028E | 15.11 | 13.5% | 2.04 | 6.0% | 1.13 |
| 2029E | 16.01 | 13.3% | 2.13 | 5.0% | 1.33 |
| 2030E | 16.82 | 13.1% | 2.20 | 4.0% | 1.53 |
| 2031E | 17.49 | 13.0% | 2.27 | 3.5% | 1.66 |
Assumptions: opening book at 31 Dec 2026 of S$14.12 per share (latest book value per share S$13.73 [S12], matching FY25 NAV S$13.38 + 1H26 EPS S$0.93 − 58c FY25 final and special, less the 47c interim paid in August, plus 2H26 EPS of S$0.86 implied by the S$1.79 FY26 consensus and the S$0.93 1H26 actual). Year 1 (FY27) = consensus EPS S$1.93; ROE then fades from 13.5% to 13.0% as NIM pressure offsets fee growth. Free cash flow to equity = earnings less the equity needed to keep CET1 constant as risk-weighted assets grow 7% (near the raised loan-growth guidance) fading to 3.5%. Terminal growth 3.0% (assumed; Singapore long-run nominal GDP growth NOT FOUND — the 2026 real growth forecast alone is 4.5–5.5% [S26]). Values are discounted to 9 Oct 2026.
| Case | Key differences | Perpetuity (Gordon on ROE, g 3%) | Exit P/E | DCF value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | FY27 EPS 8% below consensus; ROE fades to 11.0% | S$35.97 | 10.0x → S$18.72 | S$27.34 |
| Base | Consensus FY27; ROE 13.5% → 13.0% | S$44.98 | 12.1x → S$25.97 | S$35.48 |
| Bull | FY27 EPS 4% above consensus; ROE 14.5% → 14.0%; faster growth | S$51.00 | 14.0x → S$32.38 | S$41.69 |
Implied discount rate: 7.4% vs our 6.3% cost of equity — the market is pricing OCBC with about 1.1 points more risk than our CAPM rate, which is where the downside cases sit.

6c. Residual Income
| Year | Opening book (S$) | EPS (S$) | Equity charge (CoE × book) | Residual income (S$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027E | 14.12 | 1.93 | 0.89 | 1.04 |
| 2028E | 15.11 | 2.04 | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| 2029E | 16.01 | 2.13 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 2030E | 16.82 | 2.20 | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| 2031E | 17.49 | 2.27 | 1.10 | 1.17 |
Opening book S$14.12; average ROE 13.3% gives a justified P/B of 3.11x [(ROE − g)/(CoE − g)]. With full persistence of terminal residual income the value is S$44.98; with 50% persistence S$20.04; we use the average, S$32.51. Weight in fair value: 30%.
6d. Peers (Stockanalysis, Prices at 26 Aug–5 Oct 2026)
| Ticker | Price | Mkt cap | Fwd P/E | P/B (EV/EBITDA n/a for banks) | 3-yr growth fcst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O39 (OCBC) | S$31.66 (2 Oct) | S$142.15bn | 17.69x | 2.18x | NOT FOUND |
| D05 (DBS) | S$77.83 (5 Oct) | S$221.13bn | 18.59x | 3.15x | NOT FOUND |
| U11 (UOB) | S$43.10 (1 Oct) | S$70.68bn | 12.88x | 1.33x | NOT FOUND |
| MAYBANK | RM10.16 (28 Sep) | RM122.89bn | 11.26x | 1.27x | NOT FOUND |
| PBBANK | RM4.80 (11 Sep) | RM93.17bn | 12.13x | 1.44x | NOT FOUND |
| CIMB | RM8.08 (26 Aug) | RM87.31bn | 10.82x | 1.24x | NOT FOUND |
| BBCA | IDR 6,250 (25 Sep) | IDR 767.76tn | 12.03x | 2.84x | NOT FOUND |
| 0005 (HSBC) | not shown | HK$2.26tn | 10.99x | 1.46x | NOT FOUND |
| KBANK | THB 253 (18 Sep) | THB 594.81bn | 12.22x | 0.89x | NOT FOUND |
Peer method: median forward P/E of the eight profitable peers (excluding OCBC) is 12.08x; applied to our FY28 EPS of S$2.04 (FY+2; consensus FY28 NOT FOUND, so the base-case path built on consensus FY27 is used) and discounted 1.23 years at 6.3% gives S$22.85. No growth/ROE premium is applied even though OCBC’s ROE (13.7%) is above the peer median (11.2%); a P/B cross-check (median 1.39x scaled by relative ROE) gives S$23.52. Peer prices are on different dates because stockanalysis pages update at different times.
6e. Single-lever Test
| Input changed alone | Low | High | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of equity ±1.0pt | S$26.54 | S$38.36 | S$11.82 |
| Terminal / long-run ROE ±1.0pt (13.0% base) | S$28.19 | S$33.41 | S$5.22 |
| Exit & peer P/E 10x–14x (12.1x base) | S$28.91 | S$32.54 | S$3.64 |
| Terminal growth 2.5%–3.5% | S$29.58 | S$32.44 | S$2.86 |
| FY2027 EPS ±8% (S$1.93 base) | S$30.70 | S$30.90 | S$0.20 |
The biggest lever is the cost of equity: ±1 point moves fair value from S$26.54 to S$38.36.
7. Synthesis
| Method | Inputs | Value | vs price | Weight | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (FCFE) | CoE 6.3%, g 3%, exit 12.1x | S$35.48 | +22.3% | 40% | S$14.19 |
| Residual income | Book S$14.12, ROE 13.7%→13.0% | S$32.51 | +12.1% | 30% | S$9.75 |
| Peers | 12.1x FY28 EPS S$2.04 | S$22.85 | −21.2% | 30% | S$6.86 |
| Fair value | S$30.80 | +6.2% | 100% | S$30.80 | |
| Bear / Base / Bull | S$24.15 / S$30.80 / S$36.11 | −16.7% / +6.2% / +24.5% |
How much rests on consensus: valuing the peer leg on the bear-case FY28 EPS (S$1.81) instead of the consensus-based path gives a peer value of S$20.31 and a fair value of S$30.04 — little changes, because peers carry only 30%.
Margin of safety: the gap to fair value is +6.2%, well short of a margin of safety; a 30% discount to fair value would be S$21.56. The price implies a 7.4% discount rate vs our 6.3% cost of equity.
8. Technicals

Trend: the long-term uptrend is intact — price S$29.00 is above the 200-day (S$24.89) and 100-day (S$28.42) averages and far above the 50-week (S$23.83) and 200-week (S$16.79) averages — but it broke below the 50-day average (S$31.13) on 7 Oct.
Momentum: daily RSI-14 is 30.6, close to oversold; weekly RSI-14 is 56.7. The daily MACD histogram is −0.37, more negative than a week ago (−0.07).
Volatility: 20-day average true range S$0.61 (about 2.1% of price); 30-day historical volatility 19.6% annualised [S1].
Volume: 25.8m and 24.4m shares traded on 7–8 Oct, roughly four times the usual daily volume; the heaviest one-year volume-by-price nodes are S$21.0–22.0 and S$31.0–32.0 [S1].
| Level | Price | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Resistance 2 | S$32.57 | 52-week intraday high, 4 Sep 2026 |
| Resistance 1 | S$31.00–31.50 | 50-day average and high-volume node |
| Current | S$29.00 | 9 Oct 2026 close |
| Support 1 | S$28.42 | 100-day average |
| Support 2 | S$27.17 | 13-week low |
| Support 3 | S$24.89 | 200-day average |
Our Dated Calls
Pre-registered calls, scored publicly after each date; price calls are on total return after typical trading costs.
| # | Call | Probability | Scoring date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3Q26 net profit (OCBC release) is at least S$2.00bn | 55% | 30 Nov 2026 |
| 2 | 3Q26 net interest margin is 1.70% or lower | 65% | 30 Nov 2026 |
| 3 | FY2026 net profit is at least S$8.00bn (consensus EPS S$1.79 × 4.49bn shares ≈ S$8.04bn) | 55% | 15 Mar 2027 |
| 4 | FY2026 final plus special dividend declared totals at least 60 cents | 50% | 15 Mar 2027 |
| 5 | O39 total return from S$29.00 lies between −10% and +10% after ~0.1% trading costs | 55% | 12 Apr 2027 |
| 6 | O39 closes above S$32.57 (the 52-week intraday high) at least once | 40% | 12 Apr 2027 |
Bull Case
- Wealth fees, trading and insurance keep growing 25%+ and FY26 EPS beats the S$1.79 consensus (1H26 ran at S$1.86 annualised).
- Loan growth at the raised high-single to low-double digit guidance offsets margin pressure.
- The S$2.5bn capital return is completed with a large FY26 special dividend; bull value S$36.11 (+24.5%).
Bear Case
- NIM keeps falling below 1.70% as SGD deposit costs rise; net interest income declines faster than guided.
- Trading and insurance gains revert; ROE slips toward 11%.
- The multiple compresses toward regional peers (median 12.1x forward P/E); bear value S$24.15 (−16.7%).
FAQ
What is OCBC’s fair value? Our 12-month fair value is S$30.80 per share (range S$24.15–S$36.11), from 40% DCF (S$35.48), 30% residual income (S$32.51) and 30% peers (S$22.85).
Is OCBC undervalued? No — at S$29.00 it is fairly valued: our fair value is +6.2% above the price, after rising +46.8% this year.
What are the main risks for OCBC? Net interest margin compression (1.73% in 1H26, down 25bp), a reversal of record trading and insurance income, and de-rating from 2.11x book.
When are OCBC’s next results? 3Q26 results are expected in early November 2026; the date has not been announced (3Q25 results came on 7 Nov 2025).
Does OCBC pay a dividend? Yes — 47c interim for 1H26 (paid 28 Aug 2026) and S$1.05 over the last 12 months, a 3.6% trailing yield at S$29.00.
Method and Sources
Bank valuation: free cash flow to equity at the cost of equity, with terminal value averaged between a Gordon growth on ROE and an exit P/E; a residual-income model on book value; and a peer P/E on FY+2 earnings; combined 40/30/30. Cost of equity uses the average of OCBC’s own 2-year weekly beta and the peer median because they differ by more than 0.3. Prices are IBKR closes; where an article and IBKR differ (e.g. the date of the 5.9% fall, reported as 7 or 8 Oct), IBKR is used (7 Oct). Figures independently fact-checked against the linked sources on 12 Oct 2026.
- [S1] IBKR market data — O39 (contract 15785520) daily 1-yr and weekly 5-yr bars, snapshot, corporate actions; ES3 weekly 2-yr (STI proxy), retrieved 12 Oct 2026
- [S2] OCBC 1H26 results release (7 Aug 2026)
- [S3] Beansprout — OCBC 2Q26 results and updated guidance
- [S4] OCBC 1Q26 results release (8 May 2026)
- [S5] OCBC FY2025 results release (25 Feb 2026)
- [S6] OCBC 2025 Financial Highlights (5-year data)
- [S7] OCBC Annual Report 2025 — Management Discussion & Analysis
- [S8] OCBC Annual Report 2023 — MD&A (FY22–23 NII, NIM, CET1)
- [S9] OCBC FY2021 results release
- [S10] OCBC Annual Report 2025 — shareholding statistics (25 Feb 2026)
- [S11] OCBC Annual Report 2025 — management biographies
- [S12] stockanalysis — O39 statistics
- [S13] stockanalysis — O39 forecast (data as of 24 Aug 2026)
- [S14] stockanalysis — peer statistics pages (D05, U11, MAYBANK, PBBANK, CIMB, BBCA, 0005, KBANK)
- [S15] Trading Economics — Singapore 10-year government bond yield
- [S16] SGX announcement — OCBC interim dividend 47 cents (7 Aug 2026)
- [S17] Phillip Securities — OCBC 2Q26 note (14 Aug 2026)
- [S18] Investing.com — OCBC Q2 profit beats expectations
- [S19] The Financial Coconut — Singapore bank shares, Oct 2026 (Citi Sell, S$27.50)
- [S20] Journal Arta — Singapore bank stocks drop (8 Oct 2026)
- [S21] OCBC — Bank of Ningbo alliance extended (17 Sep 2026)
- [S22] OCBC media releases index (HSBC Indonesia wealth deal 4 May 2026; appointments)
- [S23] OCBC — Tan Teck Long appointed Group CEO (11 Jul 2025)
- [S24] SGX buyback notice (18 May 2026)
- [S25] The Smart Investor — 1Q26 buybacks
- [S26] MTI — 2026 GDP forecast upgraded (11 Aug 2026)
- [S27] finews.asia — OCBC CEO remuneration 2025
- [S28] The Smart Investor — STI blue chips YTD (13 Jul 2026)
- [S29] Insurance Business — Great Eastern to relist after failed delisting bid
- [S30] OCBC 3Q25 results release (7 Nov 2025)
- [S31] Beansprout — OCBC FY25 results and 2026 guidance
- [S32] SGX — OCBC 3Q25 results date notice (8 Oct 2025)
- [S33] Business Today — Maybank IB upgrades OCBC to Buy (10 Nov 2025)
- [S34] OCBC — Board of Directors
Not located: 3Q26 results date; NAV per share and equity at 30 Jun 2026 from OCBC (stockanalysis used); 1H26 segment split; FY28 consensus EPS; consensus net profit; peer 3-year growth forecasts; cumulative progress on the S$2.5bn capital return; HSBC Indonesia deal price; current CEO pay; SGXNet director-dealing filings for 2026; FY21 NIM; Singapore long-run nominal GDP (3% terminal growth assumed).
Analysis only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Figures as at 9 Oct 2026; sources linked. The author holds a position in O39.
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