Sandisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) Analysis — fair value US$1,128 vs US$1,609.46 (Oct 2026)

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Sandisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) valuation snapshot: Overvalued, price US$1,609.46 at 8 Oct 2026 close, 12-month fair value US$1,128, range US$450–1,682
Valuation snapshot, prices at 8 Oct 2026 close.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Valuation viewOvervalued (−29.9% to fair value)
Current priceUS$1,609.46 (8 Oct 2026 close; 7.5x forward P/E)
12-month fair valueUS$1,128 (50% DCF / 50% peers)
Bear–bull rangeUS$450 (−72.0%) to US$1,682 (+4.5%)
Dividend yieldNone

Key Takeaways

  • Overvalued: our 12-month fair value is US$1,128 per share, −29.9% versus the US$1,609.46 close on 8 Oct 2026; even the bull case (US$1,682) is only +4.5% above the price.
  • Priced for peak margins to last: at our 13.9% cost of capital the share price needs operating margins of about 60% to hold through FY2029–31; we fade them from 78% to 40% as NAND supply catches up. The price implies a 9.7% discount rate on our base cash flows.
  • The earnings are real: FY2026 revenue was US$20.25bn (+175%), fourth-quarter gross margin was 84.6%, and guidance for the quarter to September is US$10.3–10.8bn; results land on 29 Oct 2026.

The Verdict

Overvalued — fair value US$1,128 (range US$450–US$1,682), −29.9% vs US$1,609.46 (8 Oct 2026 close).

What is working: NAND contract prices have risen sharply through 2025–26 (TrendForce forecast +10–15% for 3Q26 and +15–20% for 4Q26), so Sandisk went from a loss in FY2025 to US$11.4bn of net income in FY2026, paid off all long-term debt and launched a US$20bn buyback (Q4 FY26 release). The shares are up +578.0% this year and sit −31.6% below the 52-week high of US$2,354.39. What the price already assumes: our base case already uses consensus revenue of US$49.0bn for FY2027 and US$57.8bn for FY2028 at about 78% operating margins, yet it still gives US$1,229 in the DCF. To reach US$1,609 you need those margins to stay near 60% for three more years after that. The deciding factor is how long NAND contract prices stay this high once new 2027–28 capacity arrives — TrendForce still sees +15–20% in 4Q26, but the first weekly fall in wafer prices in months (−2.9%) showed up this week (TrendForce; TechTimes).

Recent Developments (Last 12 Months)

DateEventWhy it matters
6 Nov 2025FQ1 FY26: revenue US$2.31bn, non-GAAP GM 29.9%Start of the price up-cycle
24 Nov 2025S&P DJI: SNDK joins S&P 500 (effective 28 Nov), replacing IPG (S&P DJI)Index demand; confirms index status
29 Jan 2026Kioxia JV extended to 31 Dec 2034; Sandisk pays Kioxia US$1.165bn over 2026–29 (Kioxia)Extends the JV five years, to 31 Dec 2034
18 Feb 2026Western Digital sells 5.82m SNDK shares at US$545 via debt-for-equity exchange (Yahoo)Removes most of the spin-off overhang
20 Apr 2026Joins the Nasdaq-100, replacing Atlassian (Tiger Brokers)More passive ownership
30 Apr 2026FQ3 FY26: revenue US$5.95bn, GM 78.4%; long-term debt repaid to zeroBalance sheet cleaned up
25 Jun – 29 Jul 2026All-time closing high US$2,335.00, then a 56% fall to US$1,015.89 (TIKR)Shows how violent the swings are
5 Aug 2026FQ4 FY26: revenue US$8.97bn, GM 84.6%; FQ1 guide US$10.3–10.8bn; extra US$14bn buyback (release)Peak-margin quarter; US$15.5bn buyback capacity left
13 Aug 2026Investor Day: long-term model of mid-to-high-teens revenue growth and ~80% gross margin; contracts cover ~50% of FY27 bits (ts2.tech)Management argues the cycle is structurally better
14 & 17 Sep 2026CEO David Goeckeler sells 67,679 shares (~US$105m) (secform4)Largest insider sale of the year; 10b5-1 status not confirmed
21 Sep 2026Joins the S&P 100, replacing Colgate-Palmolive (Motley Fool)Stock +11.0% on 18 Sep ahead of it
5 Oct 2026Mizuho raises target to US$2,050 from US$1,875 (TheStreet)Brokers remain bullish (25 analysts: 21 Buy/Strong Buy)
8 Oct 2026Shares −4.9% to US$1,609.46 on AI build-out doubts (Crypto Briefing)Sector-wide de-rating risk (MU −4.79%, stockanalysis)
29 Oct 2026Next: FQ1 FY27 results, call 1:30pm PT (Sandisk)First test of whether margins peaked

Key Numbers

MetricValueNote
Forward P/E7.5xstockanalysis, 8 Oct 2026
P/B16.0xBook US$15.7bn; asset-light by this test
Revenue growth (FY2026)+175.3%US$7.36bn → US$20.25bn
Cost of equity (= WACC)13.9%No debt; peer-median beta 2.08
Gross margin, Q4 FY2684.6%From 26.2% a year earlier
Drawdown from 52-week high−31.6%52-week range US$116.17–2,354.39 (IBKR)

1. Business & Moat

Sandisk designs and sells NAND flash memory — SSDs for data centres, flash for phones and PCs (“Edge”), and memory cards and USB drives (“Consumer”). It was spun out of Western Digital in February 2025. It does not own its fabs outright: it holds 49.9% of the Flash Ventures joint ventures with Kioxia, which run eight fabs in Japan; each partner generally buys half the output at cost plus a small markup (10-K). No customer exceeded 10% of revenue in FY2026; the top ten were 44%. International sales were 82% of revenue; a detailed regional split was NOT FOUND.

End marketQ4 FY26 (US$m)FY26 (US$m)FY26 growth
Datacenter2,9775,153+437%
Edge5,43212,160+195%
Consumer5562,935+29%
Total8,96520,248+175%

Guidance for FQ1 FY27 (quarter to about late September): revenue US$10.3–10.8bn, non-GAAP gross margin 83–85%, non-GAAP EPS US$44–46 on about 155m diluted shares (release).

Bar chart of Sandisk quarterly revenue rising from US$1.70bn to US$8.97bn with gross margin line rising from 22.5% to 84.6%
Chart 1. Quarterly revenue (US$bn) and gross margin. Solid = reported; outlined = consensus (Yahoo, 8 Oct 2026). Sources: stockanalysis, Sandisk.
Donut chart: Edge 60.1%, Datacenter 25.4%, Consumer 14.5% of FY2026 revenue
Chart 2. FY2026 revenue by end market. Source: Sandisk Q4 FY26 release.
Bar chart comparing end-market revenue in FY2025 and FY2026
Chart 3. Revenue mix shift, FY2025 vs FY2026 (US$bn). Geography split not disclosed beyond 82% international.

Porter’s Five Forces

ForcePressureWhy
RivalryHighA handful of large NAND makers (Samsung, SK hynix, Kioxia/Sandisk, Micron, YMTC) — prices swing with capacity
Buyer powerMedium–highTop ten customers 44% of sales; hyperscalers negotiate multi-year bit contracts
Supplier powerMediumTied to Kioxia JV to 2034; equipment makers concentrated
Threat of substitutesLow–mediumHDDs still cheaper per terabyte for cold storage
Threat of entryLowVery capital-intensive fabs and process know-how

Moat verdict: narrow. Scale, the Kioxia cost base and long-term supply contracts help, but the product is a commodity and pricing, not loyalty, drives margins.

2. Leadership & Capital Allocation

ItemDetail
Chairman & CEODavid Goeckeler (Sandisk)
EVP & CFOLuis Visoso
ControlNo controlling holder; largest 13F holders BlackRock (10.3m shares) and Vanguard Capital Management (9.7m; about 13.2m across all Vanguard entities), 30 Jun 2026 (InsiderSet). Insiders own about 0.21%.
PayCEO pay from the proxy: NOT FOUND
ReturnsROE about 73% in FY2026 (net income US$11.43bn / year-end equity US$15.74bn) vs our 13.9% hurdle
BuybacksUS$6bn (Apr 2026) + US$14bn (Aug 2026) authorised; US$4.52bn bought in Q4; US$15.5bn left
DividendNone
DebtUS$1.9bn repaid in FY2026; long-term debt zero; cash US$4.76bn (3 Jul 2026)
DilutionStock-based pay US$232m in FY2026; 146.42m shares outstanding on 7 Aug 2026
M&ANone found

Insider check: net selling — no open-market purchases in 12 months; nine sales of 77,899 shares (about US$121m) in the last 90 days, led by CEO David Goeckeler selling 67,679 shares for about US$105m on 14 and 17 Sep 2026 at US$1,528–1,574; MarketBeat puts 12-month insider selling at US$133.8m by 7 insiders (secform4; MarketBeat).

3. Financial Health

US$m (FY ends ~1 Jul)FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue9,7546,0866,6637,35520,248
Gross margin33.3%7.1%16.1%30.1%71.5%
Operating income1,216−1,295−44450712,468
Net income1,064−2,143−672−1,64111,433
Diluted EPS (US$)n/a−14.78−4.63−11.3273.76
Free cash flow741−932−475−12011,494

Latest quarter (Q4 FY26, to 3 Jul 2026): revenue US$8,965m, gross margin 84.6%, GAAP EPS US$43.97 (non-GAAP US$39.25). Cash US$4,762m, total debt US$201m (leases), equity US$15,736m (stockanalysis; release). FY22–FY24 are carve-out figures from before the spin-off.

Waterfall chart from revenue US$20,248m to net income US$11,433m
Chart 4. FY2026 income cascade (US$m, GAAP). Source: stockanalysis; the company release shows operating income of US$12,389m.
  • Cash backs the profit: FY2026 operating cash flow US$11.67bn vs net income US$11.43bn; capex only US$177m because fab investment sits in the Kioxia JVs.
  • Company-defined FCF is lower: Sandisk’s own adjusted FCF was US$8.74bn for FY2026, which counts JV-related spending the cash-flow statement does not.
  • Margins are cyclical, not structural (yet): gross margin went 22.5% → 84.6% in five quarters, mostly from price; about two-thirds of Q4’s growth came from pricing (ts2.tech analysis).
  • Two operating-income figures: US$12,389m in the release vs US$12,468m at stockanalysis — a classification difference; neither changes the valuation.

4. Risks

Macro & Regulatory

  • Serious: AI-capex slowdown — the 8 Oct sell-off was about doubts on the pace of AI build-outs; data-centre SSDs are now a quarter of sales.
  • Watch: rates — the US 10-year yield is 5.27% (FRED/Alpha Vantage); the stock fell 9.0% on 18 Aug when yields rose.
  • Watch: export controls and Japan–China trade policy affecting fabs in Japan and sales in Asia (82% of revenue international).

Operational & Competitive

  • Critical: NAND oversupply — new capacity from Samsung, SK hynix, Micron and YMTC in 2027–28 could reverse prices; our base case cuts FY2029 revenue 15%.
  • Serious: JV dependence — output depends on Kioxia’s fabs and joint decisions on capex.
  • Watch: HBF (high-bandwidth flash) is promising but no sampling date has been disclosed by the company.

Financial & Governance

  • Serious: volatility — the shares fell 56% between 25 Jun and 29 Jul 2026; a beta near 2 means big swings either way.
  • Watch: heavy insider selling (about US$121m in 90 days) while the company buys back stock.
  • Watch: buybacks at peak prices could destroy value if the cycle turns.

5. Catalysts

WhenMeasurable testOdds
Late Oct 2026 (date TBC)SK hynix results: NAND pricing commentary stays positive60%
29 Oct 2026FQ1 FY27 revenue ≥ US$10.55bn (guide midpoint) and GM ≥ 84%60–70%
29 Oct 2026FQ2 FY27 revenue guide midpoint ≥ US$12.2bn (consensus US$12.23bn)50%
Late Dec 2026TrendForce 1Q27 NAND contract-price forecast still positive55%
2027HBF samples to customersNOT FOUND (no company date)

Bull case vs consensus: consensus (18–20 analysts, Yahoo) has FY2027 revenue US$48.96bn / EPS US$214.10 and FY2028 US$57.79bn / US$264.72, with FY2028 EPS up from US$198.30 sixty days ago (Yahoo). The average target is US$2,173 (range US$1,000–3,600; stockanalysis). Our bull case uses FY2028 revenue of US$66bn and still gives US$1,682 because we discount a cyclical fade after FY2028.

6. Valuation Suite

6a. Cost of Capital

InputValueSource / note
Risk-free (with date)5.27% (6 Oct 2026)US 10-year Treasury, Alpha Vantage / FRED DGS10
Own 2-yr weekly beta vs S&P 500n/aOnly 87 weekly bars since the Feb 2025 listing (rule: under 2 years → peer median)
Peer median beta (check)2.08stockanalysis 5Y betas: MU 2.23, WDC 2.17, STX 2.08, P 1.40, NTAP 1.45, SK hynix 2.39, Samsung 1.55
Raw beta used2.08Peer median
Adjusted beta (0.67×raw+0.33)1.72
Equity risk premium5.0%Developed market
Size/illiquidity premium0.0%Mega-cap, US$11bn/day traded
Cost of equity13.9%
Debt weight / after-tax cost of debt~0% / n/aNo long-term debt; US$201m leases
WACC13.9%Same rate used in DCF, residual income and peer discounting

6b. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

US$bnFY27EFY28EFY29EFY30EFY31E
Revenue49.057.849.150.652.1
Growth+141.8%+18.0%−15.0%+3.0%+3.0%
EBIT margin78%78%55%45%40%
EBIT38.245.127.022.820.8
NOPAT (15% tax)32.538.323.019.417.7
Reinvestment5.83.10.21.71.8
FCFF26.735.322.817.615.9

Assumptions: FY2027 and FY2028 revenue are consensus (Yahoo); the FQ1 guide of US$10.3–10.8bn annualises to about US$42bn, so FY2027 needs further growth. EBIT margin 78% in FY2027–28 (FQ1 guide implies about 78%), then a fade to 55%, 45% and 40% as new industry capacity arrives. Tax 15% (company non-GAAP rate). Reinvestment = 3% of revenue + 15% of the revenue change (covers JV funding and working capital). Cash flows discounted from 0.75 years (FY2027 ends early July 2027) at 13.9%. Net cash US$4.56bn; 146.42m shares.

CaseKey differencesPerpetuity (g)Exit multipleDCF value
BearFY27 US$42.2bn (guide run-rate), FY28 US$38bn, FY29 −30%; EBIT margin falls to 25%US$467 (g 2%)US$477 (6x)US$472
BaseConsensus FY27–28; FY29 −15%; margin fades 78% → 40%US$1,184 (g 3%)US$1,274 (8x)US$1,229
BullFY27 US$52bn, FY28 US$66bn, FY29 −5%; margin holds 55%+US$1,979 (g 3.5%)US$2,370 (10x)US$2,175

Implied discount rate: 9.7% vs our 13.9% WACC — the price only works on our base cash flows if investors accept a return about 4 points below our hurdle for a beta-2 stock.

Heatmap of DCF values from about US$1,053 to US$1,530 across WACC 11.9–15.9% and exit multiples 6–10x
Chart 5. DCF sensitivity (base case). Rows: WACC; columns: exit multiple; base case outlined. Values in US$ per share.

6c. Residual Income

US$ per shareFY27EFY28EFY29EFY30EFY31E
Opening book107218349428494
EPS (model)222262157132121
ROE206%120%45%31%25%
Residual income2072311087352

Book value US$107.47 per share (US$15.74bn / 146.42m shares); half of earnings retained (rest bought back). Value with full persistence US$896, with 50% persistence US$650 (average US$773). Justified P/B on a normalised 25% ROE is 2.0x vs about 16x today. Shown for reference only (0% weight) — asset-light by our rule, P/B above 10x.

6d. Peers (stockanalysis, prices at 8 Oct 2026)

TickerPriceMkt capFwd P/EEV/EBITDA3-yr growth fcst
SNDKUS$1,609.46US$235.7bn7.4918.09+41.0%
MUUS$1,035.84US$1.17tn6.1810.44+33.6%
Kioxia (285A)*¥55,780¥30.57tn4.2812.74+87.4%
SK hynix (000660)*₩1,841,000₩1,341.8tn4.499.14+83.2%
Samsung (005930)₩265,000₩1,684.6tn4.356.81+47.0%
WDCUS$393.31US$147.2bn19.4929.36+34.8%
STXUS$774.83US$176.2bn22.4739.61+36.7%
NTAPUS$230.51US$45.3bn23.7321.40+9.9%
P (Pure Storage)US$150.57US$50.2bn46.18128.59+31.9%

Peer method: median forward P/E of the four memory producers that sell the same commodity (MU, Kioxia, SK hynix, Samsung) = 4.42x, applied to consensus FY2028 EPS of US$264.72, discounted one year at 13.9% = US$1,027. Disk-drive and storage-system peers (WDC, STX, NTAP, P) are shown but excluded because their earnings are not driven by NAND prices; including all eight gives a 12.8x median (see 6e). Cross-check: SNDK on the memory-peer trailing EV/EBITDA median (9.8x) = US$879. *Kioxia quote is from 25 Sep and SK hynix from 2 Oct (stale on stockanalysis).

6e. Single-lever Test

Input changed aloneLowHighSwing
Peer P/E (Kioxia 4.28x low; all-peer median 12.8x high)US$1,112US$2,106US$994
Long-run EBIT margin FY30–31 (35/30% vs 45/40%; 55/50%)US$1,034US$1,223US$188
FY29 revenue change (−30% / 0%)US$1,058US$1,199US$141
Exit EV/EBITDA (6x / 10x)US$1,088US$1,169US$81
WACC ±1pt (14.9% / 12.9%)US$1,095US$1,166US$71
Terminal growth (2% / 4%)US$1,116US$1,144US$28

The biggest lever is the peer multiple: using all eight peers instead of the four memory producers moves fair value from US$1,112 to US$2,106.

7. Synthesis

MethodInputsValuevs priceWeightWeighted
DCFFCFF at 13.9%; average of perpetuity (US$1,184) and 8x exit (US$1,274)US$1,229−23.6%50%US$615
Residual incomeBook US$107; full/50% persistence US$896/US$650US$773−52.0%0%US$0
Peers4.42x × FY28E EPS US$264.72, discounted 1 yrUS$1,027−36.2%50%US$514
Fair valueUS$1,128−29.9%100%US$1,128
Bear / Base / BullSame weights per caseUS$450 / US$1,128 / US$1,682−72.0% / −29.9% / +4.5%

How much rests on consensus: if FY2028 follows our bear revenue path (EPS about US$110 instead of US$264.72), the peer value falls to US$428 and fair value to US$829 (−48.5%).

Margin of safety: the price is +42.6% above fair value (fair value is 29.9% below the price); the 30%-discount price is US$790; the implied discount rate is 9.7% vs our 13.9% WACC.

8. Technicals

Weekly candlestick chart of Sandisk from about US$30 in 2025 to a US$2,354 high in June 2026 and US$1,609 now, with RSI panel
Chart 6. Weekly candlesticks since the February 2025 listing (US$) with 50-week average, supply/demand bands from 1-year volume-by-price, and weekly RSI-14. Source: IBKR.

Trend: up over 12 months but broken short term — the price (US$1,609.46) is below the 100-day average (US$1,645) and just above the 50-day (US$1,576); the 200-day is US$1,175 and the 50-week US$1,033. The 50-day has stayed above the 200-day for as long as both can be measured.

Momentum: daily RSI-14 45, weekly 54 — neutral; the daily MACD histogram turned negative (−20.1 vs +0.2 a week ago).

Volatility: 20-day average true range US$94 (about 5.9% a day).

Volume: the heaviest 1-year trading (by value) sat around US$1,614, US$616, US$1,725 and US$1,392; the 63-session average is about 7.3m shares (about US$11.0bn a day) from IBKR daily bars.

LevelPriceBasis
Resistance 2US$2,35452-week and all-time intraday high (22 Jun 2026)
Resistance 1US$1,725–1,795Volume node and weekly pivot R1
CurrentUS$1,609.468 Oct 2026 close
Support 1US$1,576–1,58550-day average and weekly pivot S2
Support 2US$1,392Volume node
Support 3US$1,175200-day average

Our Dated Calls

Six pre-registered calls, to be scored publicly on the dates shown (price calls on total return after typical trading costs).

#CallProbabilityScoring date
1FQ1 FY27 revenue ≥ US$10.55bn (guide midpoint)70%30 Oct 2026
2FQ1 FY27 non-GAAP gross margin ≥ 84.0%60%30 Oct 2026
3FQ2 FY27 revenue guidance midpoint ≥ US$12.2bn50%30 Oct 2026
4TrendForce’s first 1Q27 NAND contract-price forecast is positive QoQ55%15 Jan 2027
5SNDK total return from US$1,609.46 is negative after ~0.1% trading costs55%9 Apr 2027
6SNDK closes below US$1,200 at least once40%9 Apr 2027

Bull Case

  • NAND stays tight into 2028: contracts already cover about 50% of FY27 and 67% of FY28 bits, and TrendForce sees +15–20% in 4Q26.
  • Datacenter (+437% in FY26) and HBF could make margins structurally higher, as Investor Day argued (~80% long-term gross margin).
  • US$15.5bn of buyback capacity — about 6.6% of the market value — supports the shares.

Bear Case

  • At US$1,609 the shares need ~60% operating margins for years; every past NAND cycle has reversed.
  • New capacity in 2027–28 and the first weekly wafer-price drop (−2.9%) hint the price peak is near.
  • Insiders sold about US$121m in 90 days; a beta near 2 amplifies any AI-capex scare.

FAQ

What is Sandisk’s fair value?

Our 12-month fair value is US$1,128 per share (range US$450–US$1,682), from 50% DCF (US$1,229) and 50% peers (US$1,027); residual income (US$773) is shown for reference only.

Is Sandisk undervalued?

No. At US$1,609.46 (8 Oct 2026 close) we see it as overvalued, −29.9% to fair value, because the price assumes near-peak margins last through FY2031.

What are the main risks for Sandisk?

A NAND price reversal when new 2027–28 capacity arrives, a slowdown in AI data-centre spending, and very high volatility (a 56% fall in five weeks this summer).

When are Sandisk’s next results?

Fiscal Q1 2027 results are due on Thursday 29 Oct 2026, with a call at 1:30pm PT; guidance is US$10.3–10.8bn of revenue.

Does Sandisk pay a dividend?

No. It returns cash through buybacks: US$4.52bn in the last quarter, with US$15.5bn of authorisation left.

Method and Sources

Fair value blends a five-year unlevered DCF (average of perpetuity-growth and exit EV/EBITDA terminal values) with a memory-peer P/E on FY2028 consensus EPS, 50/50, because Sandisk is asset-light by our rule (P/B above 10x) — residual income is calculated but given no weight. One discount rate (13.9%, CAPM with peer-median beta 2.08 and a 5.27% 10-year Treasury) is used throughout. Prices from IBKR (8 Oct 2026 close); where articles and IBKR or filings disagree, the live source is used (e.g. one article’s US$1,023.88 ‘premarket’ SNDK quote was a Micron price and was ignored; the IBKR 90-day dollar-volume figure of US$20.8bn did not match the US$11.0bn we compute from IBKR daily bars, so the latter is used). Figures independently fact-checked against the linked sources on 9 Oct 2026.

  1. IBKR market data, contract 760250490 (SANDISK CORP, NASDAQ), daily/weekly bars to 8 Oct 2026
  2. stockanalysis — SNDK statistics (8 Oct 2026)
  3. Sandisk Q4 FY2026 results release (8-K Ex 99.1, 5 Aug 2026)
  4. Sandisk FY2026 Form 10-K
  5. stockanalysis — SNDK financials (annual & quarterly)
  6. stockanalysis — SNDK cash flow
  7. stockanalysis — SNDK balance sheet
  8. stockanalysis — SNDK forecast (updated 6 Oct 2026)
  9. Yahoo Finance — SNDK analysis (consensus)
  10. stockanalysis — SNDK analyst ratings
  11. secform4 — Sandisk insider filings
  12. MarketBeat — SNDK insider trades
  13. S&P DJI — Sandisk set to join S&P 500 (24 Nov 2025)
  14. Motley Fool — Why Sandisk stock rallied (18 Sep 2026, S&P 100)
  15. Kioxia — JV extension (30 Jan 2026)
  16. Yahoo Finance — WDC sells SNDK shares (18 Feb 2026)
  17. Sandisk — FQ1 FY2027 results date (29 Sep 2026)
  18. TrendForce — 3Q26 NAND forecast (3 Jul 2026)
  19. TrendForce — 4Q26 memory forecast (30 Sep 2026)
  20. TechTimes — memory stocks slip, NAND wafer prices (7 Oct 2026)
  21. TheStreet — Mizuho resets SNDK target to $2,050 (Oct 2026)
  22. Crypto Briefing — Sandisk drops on AI storage jitters (8 Oct 2026)
  23. ts2.tech — Investor Day long-term model and broker notes (Aug 2026)
  24. TIKR — Sandisk fell 55% from June high, then +26% (Jul 2026)
  25. Sandisk — management team
  26. Alpha Vantage TREASURY_YIELD (US 10-year constant maturity, 6 Oct 2026); series: FRED DGS10
  27. stockanalysis — MU statistics
  28. stockanalysis — WDC statistics
  29. stockanalysis — STX statistics
  30. stockanalysis — Pure Storage (shown as Everpure, P) statistics
  31. stockanalysis — NTAP statistics
  32. stockanalysis — Kioxia (TYO:285A) statistics
  33. stockanalysis — SK hynix (KRX:000660) statistics
  34. stockanalysis — Samsung Electronics (KRX:005930) statistics
  35. Tiger Brokers — Sandisk to join Nasdaq-100 (Apr 2026)
  36. InsiderSet — SNDK institutional ownership (30 Jun 2026)
  37. stockanalysis — SNDK price history
  38. TradingView — US most active by price × volume

Not located: own 2-year beta (history under 2 years); CEO pay (proxy not reviewed); named key customers; detailed geographic revenue split; FY2028 consensus from a second source; cause of the 4 Aug and 24 Aug 2026 moves; HBF sampling date; 10b5-1 status of every insider sale.

Analysis only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Figures as at 8 Oct 2026; sources linked. The author does not hold a position in SNDK.

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