PropNex (SGX:OYY) Analysis — Fair Value S$1.31 vs S$1.76 (Oct 2026)

Download the full report (PDF)

PropNex (SGX: OYY) valuation snapshot: Overvalued, price S$1.76, fair value S$1.31, -25.8%
Valuation snapshot, prices at 6 Oct 2026 close.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Valuation viewOvervalued (-25.8% to fair value)
Current priceS$1.76 (6 Oct 2026 close; 17.9x forward P/E)
12-month fair valueS$1.31 (50% DCF / 50% peers)
Bear–bull rangeS$0.89 (-49.3%) to S$1.60 (-9.1%)
Dividend yield5.4% (4.5c final FY2025 + 5.0c interim 1H2026)

Key Takeaways

  • Overvalued: our fair value is S$1.31 vs S$1.76 (-25.8%), with a range of S$0.89–S$1.60; even our bull case sits below the price.
  • A great business, a full price: PropNex earned a 60.6% return on equity in FY2025, holds 64.3% of Singapore HDB and private residential transactions and pays out almost all its profit (9.5c a share, 5.4% yield) (Annual Report 2025, 1H2026 business update).
  • Growth has stalled for now: 1H2026 revenue rose 0.7% to S$603.0m while PATMI fell 3.1% to S$40.9m as project-marketing commissions dropped 7.8% (1H2026 results); at S$1.76 the shares price in a 7.3% discount rate vs our 9.6% cost of equity.

The Verdict

Overvalued — fair value S$1.31 (range S$0.89–S$1.60), -25.8% vs S$1.76 (6 Oct 2026 close).

What is working: PropNex is Singapore’s largest property agency, with 14,574 salespersons on 3 Aug 2026 (38.1% of the country’s agents on 1 Jul 2026) and a 64.3% share of HDB and private residential transactions in 1H2026 (1H2026 press release, business update). FY2025 was a record: revenue S$1,116.4m (+42.6%) and PATMI S$70.4m (+72.0%) as new-launch sales lifted project-marketing commissions to S$434.0m (FY2025 results). The balance sheet has no bank debt and S$130.2m of cash at 30 Jun 2026 (1H2026 results).

What the price already assumes: the shares are down 6.4% this year (from S$1.88 at 31 Dec 2025) and 33.1% below the 52-week high of S$2.63 (10 Oct 2025, IBKR, unadjusted for dividends). At S$1.76 they trade on 17.9x FY2026 consensus EPS (about 9.8 cents) and 10.5x book. Our base case uses consensus revenue growth of +1.9% for FY2026 and +3.5% for FY2027 (stockanalysis consensus) with a stable net margin of about 6.4%; those cash flows equal today’s price only at a 7.3% discount rate, against our 9.6% cost of equity.

The single factor that decides it: whether a near-100% dividend payout from a cyclical, agent-driven business deserves a bond-like 7.3% discount rate. The shares behave defensively (own 2-year weekly beta 0.63 vs the STI), but earnings swing with new-launch volumes — PATMI fell from S$62.4m in FY2022 to S$40.9m in FY2024 before rising 72% to S$70.4m in FY2025. If the 2027 launch pipeline (potentially about 11,000 units, per Phillip Securities) lifts margins back to FY2025 levels and above, the bull case (S$1.60) comes into view; a repeat of 2023–24 points to the bear case (S$0.89).

Recent Developments (Last 12 Months)

DateEventWhy it matters
17 Oct 2025Claimants withdraw a lawsuit against subsidiary PropNex Realty; no material FY2025 impact (TipRanks)Litigation overhang eases
24 Oct 2025Pebble Sia Huei-Chieh appointed independent director (from 1 Nov 2025) (MarketScreener)Board renewal
8 Dec 2025Independent director Low Wee Siong resigns, effective 4 Jan 2026 (MarketScreener)Board turnover
5 Jan 2026A second lawsuit against PropNex Realty withdrawn (Tiger Brokers)Overhang removed
26–27 Feb 2026FY2025: revenue S$1,116.4m (+42.6%), PATMI S$70.4m; final dividend 4.5c, FY total 9.5c (SGX, EdgeProp)Record base for 2026
2 Apr 2026Share buy-back mandate renewal proposed; no shares bought in the prior 12 months (SGX appendix); director Kan Yut Keong retires (MarketScreener)No buybacks used
17 Apr 2026Marcus Luah appointed Chief Growth Officer, a new recruitment role (EdgeProp)Supports agent growth
27 Apr / 8 May 2026FY2025 final dividend 4.5c (ex 27 Apr, paid 8 May) (stockanalysis)Yield support
1 Jul 2026Danny Lim Teck Chai joins as independent director; board is 2 executive + 3 independent (SGX)Governance
10 Jul 2026Another lawsuit against the subsidiary discontinued; no FY2026 impact (minichart)Litigation keeps recurring but has not cost money
28 Jul 2026Government removes the 15-month wait-out for private homeowners buying HDB resale flats (The Star)Positive for HDB resale volumes
13 Aug 20261H2026: revenue S$603.0m (+0.7%), PATMI S$40.9m (-3.1%); interim 5.0c (SGX); shares fell 3.2% intraday (Tiger)First profit dip of this cycle
14–22 Aug 2026iFAST BUY, target S$2.70 (minichart); Phillip ACCUMULATE, S$2.08 (POEMS); Beansprout NEUTRAL, cut to S$1.94 from S$2.32 (Beansprout)Brokers split
25 Aug / 11 Sep 2026Interim dividend 5.0c (ex 25 Aug, paid 11 Sep) (SGX, stockanalysis)Yield support
27–28 Sep 2026Chairman outlines a push into industrial property in a Business Times interview (Business Times via redhot)New growth story
1 Oct 2026URA 3Q2026 flash: private home prices +1.4% q/q; volumes down about 30% q/q (URA)Volumes, not prices, drive commissions
Late Feb 2027 (expected)Next: FY2026 results (not yet announced; FY2025 results came on 26–27 Feb 2026)Test of the 2H2026 recovery

Key numbers

MetricValueBasis
Forward P/E17.9xS$1.76 ÷ FY2026 consensus EPS ~9.84c (FY2025 EPS 9.51c +3.5%, stockanalysis)
P/B10.5xNAV 16.73c a share at 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth+0.7% / +42.6%1H2026 y/y / FY2025 y/y
Cost of equity9.6%SGS 10y 2.50% + β 1.02 × 5% + 2% size/illiquidity
Market share64.3%HDB + private residential transactions, 1H2026 (company)
From 52-week high-33.1%52-week range S$1.61–2.63 (IBKR)

1. Business & Moat

PropNex Limited is a Singapore real-estate agency group listed on the SGX Mainboard (ticker OYY, IBKR contract “PROPNEX LTD”). It earns commissions from two businesses: agency services (resale and rental transactions) and project marketing (selling new developments for developers), and franchises its brand in Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam and other markets. Most of each commission is passed on to its salespersons — cost of services was S$1,001.4m of S$1,116.4m revenue in FY2025 (FY2025 results). FY ends 31 December; the last reported period is 1H2026 (to 30 Jun 2026, released 13 Aug 2026).

SegmentFY2025 S$mShare1H2026 S$m1H2025 S$m
Agency services675.960.5%360.5337.2
Project marketing434.038.9%238.4258.5
Other6.50.6%4.13.3
Total1,116.4100%603.0598.9

Sources: FY2025 results, 1H2026 results. Agency revenue in FY2025 split into private resale S$234.2m, rental S$191.2m, HDB resale S$153.5m, landed resale S$61.7m and commercial & industrial S$33.8m (Annual Report 2025). Customers are individual buyers, sellers, landlords and developers; no single customer is disclosed as material (NOT FOUND).

PropNex annual revenue FY2021 to FY2027E with PATMI margin
Chart 1 — Annual revenue (S$m) and PATMI margin. PropNex reports half-yearly, so annual bars are shown. Actuals (gold) from company reports; FY2026E–FY2027E (outlined) = stockanalysis consensus revenue and our base-case PATMI.
Donut chart of PropNex FY2025 revenue: agency services 60.5%, project marketing 38.9%, other 0.6%
Chart 2 — FY2025 revenue by segment (FY2025 results).
Bar chart of PropNex FY2025 commission revenue by transaction type
Chart 3 — FY2025 commission revenue by transaction type, S$m (Annual Report 2025).

Guidance (13 Aug 2026): “cautiously optimistic about delivering a strong full year performance for 2026”; the group expects private home prices +3% to 4% in 2026, developers’ sales of about 9,000 units (ex-ECs), private resale volume of 14,000–15,000 units and HDB resale volume of about 26,000–27,000 (1H2026 results, press release). Management sees 13 projects / 4,222 units launching in 2H2026 (business update).

Porter’s Five Forces

ForcePressureComment
RivalryMediumERA (APAC Realty), Huttons and OrangeTee compete; PropNex has 38.1% of agents but 64.3% of transactions
New entrantsLow–mediumLicensing (CEA) is easy for small agencies, but developer project-marketing mandates favour scale
SubstitutesLow–mediumDirect developer sales and online listings exist; agents still handle most transactions
Buyer powerMediumDevelopers negotiate project-marketing fees; homeowners can switch agents freely
Supplier powerHighSalespersons are the “suppliers” and keep about 90% of commissions; they can move agencies

Moat verdict: narrow — scale and network. Size wins developer mandates and attracts agents, which wins more listings; that loop has lifted market share. But the economics are thin (a 6.3% net margin in FY2025), the agents own the client relationships, and earnings follow transaction volumes that PropNex cannot control.

2. Leadership & Capital Allocation

ItemDetail
Executive ChairmanMohamed Ismail S/O Abdul Gafoore (Ismail Gafoor), co-founder; CEO until 15 Jul 2025 (SGX)
CEOKelvin Fong Keng Seong, Executive Director and CEO from 15 Jul 2025 (previously Deputy CEO) (SGX)
CFOLee Li Huang, also Company Secretary (Annual Report 2025)
Board5 directors from 1 Jul 2026: 2 executive, 3 independent (Dr Ahmad Magad, Pebble Sia, Danny Lim) (SGX)
ControlP&N Holdings 55.63%; Ismail deemed 64.25%, co-founder Lim Tow Huat deemed 59.39%, Kelvin Fong deemed 10.26% (12 Mar 2026) (buy-back appendix)
Insider dealings (12 months)None found (NOT FOUND)
Directors’ payNOT FOUND
  • Returns vs hurdle: ROE 60.6% in FY2025 and 33.2% in FY2024 (Annual Report 2025), far above our 9.6% cost of equity — because the business needs almost no capital.
  • Dividends vs policy: stated policy is 75%–80% of PATMI; actual payout was 99.9% in FY2025 and 140.1% in FY2024 (Annual Report 2025); 1H2026 interim 5.0c was a 90.4% payout (press release).
  • Buybacks and dilution: no shares bought in the 12 months to 12 Mar 2026 (appendix); 740,000,000 shares since the 1-for-1 bonus issue of May 2023, no treasury shares (1H2026 results).
  • Debt: no bank borrowings; lease liabilities S$3.7m at 30 Jun 2026 (1H2026 results).
  • M&A and expansion: no acquisitions found; growth comes from recruiting more agents and from industrial property (Business Times).

3. Financial Health

S$mFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY20251H2026
Revenue957.51,029.2838.1783.01,116.4603.0
Gross profit101.8104.781.071.0115.063.9
Profit before tax78.779.159.549.889.752.2
PATMI60.062.447.840.970.440.9
EPS (cents)8.118.436.465.539.515.53
Dividend (cents)6.256.756.007.759.505.00
Operating cash flow83.151.458.338.091.233.2
Cash145.7138.9133.4111.8149.1130.2

Sources: FY2022 release, FY2024 release, FY2025 results, 1H2026 results, Annual Report 2025, stockanalysis income statement (FY2023 PBT) and cash flow (FY2021–FY2023 operating cash flow) and balance sheet (FY2021–FY2023 cash). Per-share figures are restated for the 2023 bonus issue. FY2024 dividend is 7.75c as declared (stockanalysis shows 5.2c).

Waterfall from PropNex FY2025 revenue to PATMI
Chart 4 — FY2025 income cascade (S$m), FY2025 results. “Other items, net” is PBT less gross profit.
  • Cash backs the profit: FY2025 operating cash flow S$91.2m vs PATMI S$70.4m; capex just S$0.4m.
  • Thin margin, high leverage to volume: gross margin was 10.3% in FY2025; a 10% fall in revenue at a similar cost base would hit profit far harder.
  • 1H2026 softer: gross profit fell 3.5% and operating cash flow fell to S$33.2m (S$45.3m in 1H2025); higher bad-debt write-offs were cited on results day (Tiger Brokers).
  • Cash is mostly paid out: dividends paid were S$80.8m in FY2025; cash fell from S$149.1m to S$130.2m in 1H2026 while other investments rose to S$31.3m.

4. Risks

Macro & Regulatory

  • Serious: New-launch volumes — developers sold only 153 new homes in August 2026 (no launches) (Stacked Homes) and 1H2026 project-marketing revenue fell 7.8%; fewer launches cut the highest-value commissions.
  • Watch: Cooling measures — seller’s stamp duty was extended to four years in July 2025 (MOF); the government eased the HDB wait-out rule in July 2026, showing policy can move either way.
  • Watch: Interest rates — 3-month SORA was about 1.19% in September 2026 (propertynet); a rise would cool transactions.

Operational & Competitive

  • Serious: Agent dependence — salespersons keep about 90% of commissions and can move to rivals; growth depends on recruiting more agents.
  • Watch: Conduct and litigation — PropNex had 28 CEA enforcement actions in 2025 (EdgeProp); several suits against its subsidiary have been withdrawn without cost.
  • Watch: Competition for project-marketing mandates from ERA, Huttons and OrangeTee.

Financial & Governance

  • Watch: Payout above policy — 99.9% in FY2025 and 140.1% in FY2024 leaves little buffer if earnings fall.
  • Watch: Concentrated control — founders control well over half the shares, which limits free float and trading liquidity.
  • Watch: Board turnover — four independent-director changes between Nov 2025 and Jul 2026 (two appointments, one resignation, one retirement).

5. Catalysts

WhenMeasurable testOdds
Mid-Oct 2026URA developers’ sales for September 2026 above 1,000 units50%
4Q20262H2026 launches broadly on plan (13 projects / 4,222 units per PropNex)55%
Late Feb 2027 (FY2026 results)FY2026 PATMI ≥ S$72m (2H2026 ≥ S$31m vs S$28.1m in 2H2025)45%
Late Feb 2027Salespersons ≥ 15,000 reported60%

Bull vs consensus: 8 analysts, consensus BUY, average target S$2.14 (range S$1.77–2.55) (MarketScreener, stockanalysis); FY2026 revenue S$1.14bn and EPS about S$0.10. Recent targets: iFAST S$2.70 (14 Aug 2026), Phillip S$2.08 (21 Aug), Beansprout S$1.94 (22 Aug). Our bull case (S$1.60) needs FY2027 revenue +8% and a 7.0% net margin — still below the price because we discount at 9.6%.

6. Valuation Suite

6a. Cost of Capital

InputValueSource / note
Risk-free (Singapore 10-year SGS, 6 Oct 2026)2.50%Beansprout (MAS SGS benchmark)
Own 2-yr weekly beta vs STI0.63IBKR weekly closes, 104 weekly returns to 6 Oct 2026; SPDR STI ETF (ES3) as the index proxy
Peer median beta (check)1.44stockanalysis 5-year betas of the 6 peers in 6d
Raw beta used1.03Average of the two (gap > 0.3), per method
Adjusted beta (0.67×raw+0.33)1.02
Equity risk premium5.0%Developed market (assumption)
Size/illiquidity premium2.0%S$1.3bn market value; about S$0.86m a day traded (IBKR, last 63 sessions); founders hold most shares
Cost of equity9.6%Used in DCF, residual income and peer discounting
Debt weight / after-tax cost of debt0% / n/aNo bank borrowings; leases S$3.7m ignored
WACC9.6%Equals cost of equity (no debt)

6b. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

S$mFY26EFY27EFY28EFY29EFY30E
Revenue1,137.41,177.11,212.41,248.81,280.0
Growth+1.9%+3.5%+3.0%+3.0%+2.5%
PATMI72.875.577.880.182.1
Net margin6.4%6.4%6.4%6.4%6.4%
Free cash flow to equity30.3*71.773.976.178.0
Present value29.664.060.156.552.8

Asset-light company with no debt, so free cash flow to equity = free cash flow to the firm, valued at the 9.6% cost of equity: FCFE = PATMI × (1 − 5% reinvestment; assumption — capex was S$0.4m in FY2025). Year 1 = FY2026 consensus (revenue +1.9%, EPS +3.5%); *only 2H2026 is counted (FY2026 PATMI less the S$40.9m earned in 1H2026). Year 2 = FY2027 consensus (revenue +3.5%, EPS +3.7%); then +3.0%, +3.0% and +2.5% with the margin held. Terminal: perpetuity growth 2.5% (assumption, below Singapore long-run nominal growth) and an exit P/E equal to the peer median (13.3x), averaged. 740.0m shares; the S$130.2m cash is not added separately because its interest income is already in PATMI.

CaseKey differencesPerpetuity (g)Exit multipleDCF value
BearFY27 revenue -10%, FY28 -3%, then +2%; net margin 5.5%S$0.88 (g 1.5%)S$0.84 (11x)S$0.86
BaseConsensus FY26–27, then +3/+3/+2.5%; margin 6.4%S$1.38 (g 2.5%)S$1.36 (13.3x)S$1.37
BullFY27 +8%, FY28 +6%, then +4/+3%; net margin 7.0%S$1.73 (g 3.0%)S$1.84 (16x)S$1.79

Implied discount rate: the base-case cash flows equal today’s S$1.76 price at 7.3%, versus our 9.6% WACC.

DCF sensitivity heatmap for PropNex, cost of equity vs exit P/E
Chart 5. DCF sensitivity (base case). Rows: WACC; columns: exit multiple; base case outlined. Values in S$ per share.

6c. Residual Income

S$m2H26EFY27EFY28EFY29EFY30E
Opening book123.8125.4129.1133.0137.0
PATMI31.975.577.880.182.1
ROE (period)25.8%60.2%60.2%60.2%59.9%
Residual income26.063.565.467.369.0

Starting book value S$123.8m (owners’ equity at 30 Jun 2026; NAV 16.73c a share), 95% payout, cost of equity 9.6%. Value with full persistence S$1.39 a share; with 50% persistence S$0.53; average S$0.96. Justified P/B = (ROE − g)/(CoE − g) = 8.2x at a 61% ROE. Shown for reference only (0% weight) — asset-light, P/B above 10x.

6d. Peers (Stockanalysis, Prices at 25 Aug–6 Oct 2026)

TickerPriceMkt capFwd P/EEV/EBITDA3-yr growth fcst
OYY (PropNex)S$1.76S$1.30bn17.915.6NOT FOUND (EPS +3.5% / +3.7% FY26/27)
CLN (APAC Realty)S$0.575S$247.9m12.438.28NOT FOUND
BEKE (KE Holdings)US$16.77US$19.16bn14.2416.57NOT FOUND
COMP (Compass)US$9.02US$6.83bn108.9929.62NOT FOUND
1200.HK (Midland)HK$2.27HK$1.68bn3.271.23NOT FOUND
DOUG (Douglas Elliman)*US$1.68US$152.7mn/an/aNOT FOUND
AGNT (ex-eXp World)*US$3.82US$638.4mn/m (loss)n/mNOT FOUND
Peer median (ex OYY)13.312.4

Peer method: median forward P/E of the four peers with positive forward earnings (CLN, BEKE, COMP, Midland: 13.3x) × FY2027 EPS of 10.2 cents (consensus path) = S$1.36 at end-2027, discounted one year at the 9.6% cost of equity = S$1.24. Cross-check: peer median EV/EBITDA 12.4x vs PropNex 15.6x (stockanalysis). *DOUG has no forward P/E and AGNT is loss-making, so neither is in the median; OYY row: price IBKR 6 Oct 2026, EV/EBITDA stockanalysis at S$1.78 (21 Sep). Peer prices: CLN 9 Sep, BEKE 6 Oct, COMP 29 Sep, Midland 25 Aug, DOUG 15 Sep, AGNT 6 Oct 2026.

6e. Single-lever Test

Input changed aloneLowHighSwing
Net margin ×0.85 / ×1.15 from FY2027S$1.11S$1.50S$0.39
Peer P/E 11x / 16x (peer leg and exit multiple)S$1.15S$1.48S$0.33
Size premium 3% / 0% (cost of equity 10.6% / 7.6%)S$1.25S$1.48S$0.23
Raw beta: peer median 1.44 / own 0.63 (cost of equity 11.0% / 8.2%)S$1.23S$1.41S$0.18
Terminal growth 1.5% / 3.5%S$1.27S$1.35S$0.08

The biggest lever is the net margin: a ±15% change in margins from FY2027 moves fair value from S$1.11 to S$1.50. Even the high end is below the price. Values are fair value (50/50) with only that input changed.

7. Synthesis

MethodInputsValuevs priceWeightWeighted
DCF (FCFE = FCFF)CoE 9.6%, g 2.5%, exit 13.3xS$1.37-22.1%50%S$0.69
Residual incomeBook S$123.8m, ROE ~60%S$0.96-45.4%0%—
Peers13.3x × FY27 EPS S$0.102S$1.24-29.5%50%S$0.62
Fair valueS$1.31
Bear / Base / BullDCF cases; peers on bear / consensus / bull FY27 EPSS$0.89 / S$1.31 / S$1.60-49.3% / -25.8% / -9.1%

How much rests on consensus: the peer value uses consensus-path FY2027 EPS of 10.2 cents. On our bear-case FY2027 (revenue -10%, EPS about 7.6 cents) the peer value falls to S$0.93 and the blended fair value to S$1.15 (-34.8% vs price).

Margin of safety: none — the price is 34.7% above our fair value. A 30% margin of safety would mean a price of about S$0.91. The implied discount rate of 7.3% vs our 9.6% cost of equity is the gap: investors are pricing PropNex like a bond-proxy dividend stock.

8. Technicals

PropNex weekly candlestick chart over five years with 50- and 200-week averages, supply and demand bands and weekly RSI
Chart 6 — Weekly candlesticks (5 years) with 50/200-week averages, supply/demand bands and weekly RSI. IBKR data to 6 Oct 2026; pre-2023 prices adjusted for the bonus issue.

Trend: sideways to down. The price (S$1.76) is below the 50-day (S$1.80), 100-day (S$1.81) and 200-day (S$1.87) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day; on the weekly chart it is below the 50-week (S$1.90) but well above the 200-week (S$1.26). Momentum: daily RSI 41 and weekly RSI 44 — soft, not oversold; the daily MACD histogram is about zero (-0.0005 vs +0.0016 a week ago). Volatility: 20-day average true range S$0.021 (about 1.2% of the price). Volume: trading has dried up — 20-day average 0.25m shares vs 0.47m over 63 sessions; the heaviest one-year volume-by-price zone is S$1.80–1.85.

LevelPriceBasis
Resistance 2S$2.28–2.45Supply band: Oct 2025 and Feb 2026 congestion
Resistance 1S$1.87–1.94200-day average; 2026 rebound high S$1.94 (19 Jun 2026)
CurrentS$1.766 Oct 2026 close
Support 1S$1.75Lows of the past three months
Support 2S$1.6152-week low (23 Mar 2026)

Our Dated Calls

Pre-registered; scored on the dates shown. Price calls use total return after ~0.1% trading costs.

#CallProbabilityScoring date
1FY2026 PATMI ≥ S$72m45%1 Mar 2027
2FY2026 total dividend ≥ 9.5 cents55%1 Mar 2027
3Salespersons ≥ 15,000 in the FY2026 results release60%1 Mar 2027
4URA: 2026 developers’ new private home sales (ex-EC) ≥ 9,000 units45%15 Feb 2027
5OYY total return from S$1.76 is negative after costs45%7 Apr 2027
6OYY closes below S$1.55 at least once30%7 Apr 2027

Bull Case

  • Phillip Securities sees potentially about 11,000 units launching in 2027, against 13 projects / 4,222 units planned for 2H2026 — project marketing could rebound.
  • Market share keeps rising (64.3% of transactions with 38.1% of agents) and the agent force grew to 14,574 by 3 Aug 2026 from 13,945 on 1 Jan 2026.
  • A 5.4% yield, no debt and a 60% ROE make it a favourite of income investors.

Bear Case

  • At 17.9x earnings the price needs a 7.3% discount rate on our base case — low for a cyclical commission business.
  • 1H2026 PATMI fell 3.1% and August 2026 new-home sales were just 153 units.
  • Payout is already about 100% of profit, so dividends cannot grow faster than earnings.

FAQ

What is PropNex’s fair value?

Our 12-month fair value is S$1.31 per share (range S$0.89–S$1.60), from 50% DCF (S$1.37) and 50% peers (S$1.24), -25.8% vs the S$1.76 close on 6 Oct 2026.

Is PropNex undervalued?

No — on our numbers it looks overvalued. The price implies a 7.3% discount rate on our base-case cash flows, versus our 9.6% cost of equity.

What are the main risks for PropNex?

Fewer new launches (project-marketing revenue fell 7.8% in 1H2026), dependence on agents who keep about 90% of commissions, property cooling measures and a payout already near 100% of profit.

When are PropNex’s next results?

FY2026 results are expected in late February 2027 (not yet announced); PropNex reports half-yearly and released FY2025 results on 26–27 Feb 2026.

Does PropNex pay a dividend?

Yes — 9.5 cents in the last 12 months (4.5c final FY2025 paid 8 May 2026, 5.0c interim 1H2026 paid 11 Sep 2026), a 5.4% yield at S$1.76. Stated policy is 75%–80% of PATMI.

Method and Sources

Asset-light company valuation: FCFE DCF at the cost of equity (perpetuity-growth and exit-P/E terminals averaged; equal to FCFF as there is no debt) and a peer forward-P/E value on FY2027 EPS, weighted 50/50. Residual income is shown for reference only (0% weight) because P/B is above 10x. One cost of equity (9.6%) is used throughout. Prices are IBKR SGX closes to 6 Oct 2026. Consensus is stockanalysis (S&P Global, 8 analysts) cross-checked with MarketScreener. Figures independently fact-checked against the linked sources on 7 Oct 2026.

Not located (NOT FOUND): insider dealings in the last 12 months; directors’ remuneration; FY2027 consensus EPS detail beyond the stockanalysis summary; 2026 targets from DBS, UOB Kay Hian, Maybank, CGS and OCBC; an announced FY2026 results date; peer 3-year growth forecasts; Singapore long-run nominal GDP (terminal growth of 2.5% is an assumption); any material single customer.

Analysis only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Figures as at 6 Oct 2026; sources linked. The author holds a position in OYY.

Get the next report by email

One independent, fact-checked equity research report each weekday on Singapore and US stocks, with every prediction scored in public. Free.

Posted in

Leave a comment