29 Dec 2025 – 04 Jan 2026
Week 1 Market Analysis
The Labor Test • January 6, 2026
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📈 S&P 500
6,858
↓ -0.6% from Dec
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₿ BITCOIN
$91,530
↑ Above $90k
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📊 VIX
14.5
→ Compressed
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S&P RESISTANCE
6,900
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S&P SUPPORT
6,720
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BTC CRITICAL
$90,000
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BTC CIRCUIT
$85,000
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NFP data Friday (Jan 9) • Consensus: +164k jobs
Volatility compressed • Premium environment remains thin
Waiting for a Spark
Markets opened 2026 pinned near highs but lacked the conviction to push further. Bitcoin reclaimed ground only to stall, while volatility collapsed. Nobody wants to make the first move.
Equities: The Pause
The S&P pulled back 0.6%. Buyers are refusing to chase all-time highs without concrete earnings or Fed confirmation. While holiday volume kept things quiet, Monday brings the institutions back. We remain stuck between December highs and the first real support, drifting in a range until something forces a move.
Bitcoin: The Psychological Reclaim
Reclaiming $90k proves buyers are still willing to step in. After a weak December, this stabilization stops the bleeding. The next true test is $95k. Break it cleanly, and momentum returns.
The Volatility Trap
With the VIX at 14.5, premiums are thin. Option strategies are generating almost nothing, making the risk/reward for selling volatility poor right now.
The Week Ahead
Friday delivers Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), the first real data of the year. Volume returns on Monday, and earnings season kicks off in two weeks.
Let the market show its hand first.
Equity-Pulse 
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