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Bitcoin in 2024–2025: Fight for Relevance

Introduction

Bitcoin’s roller-coaster ride has always been riveting. The current twists of 2024 and early 2025 have once again brought a new level of drama. From political showdowns and economic tremors to heated environmental debates, Bitcoin has remained the center of global financial attention. Its resilience? Unmatched.

Strap in as we breakdown the sparks that flew and the flames that forged bitcoin’s current shape.

The 2024 Bitcoin Halving: A Slow-Burn Fireworks Show

The fourth Bitcoin halving arrived on April 20, 2024. Unlike previous cycles, it came quietly. No sudden breakout. No frenzy. And definitely no moonshot.

This wasn’t what most expected. The familiar script had been written months in advance. Cut supply, trigger scarcity, watch the price skyrocket. But the market refused to follow the plot.

Instead of fireworks, we got a smoldering fuse. One that took months to ignite.

Before the Halving: A Measured Climb

Bitcoin opened 2024 just above $42,000. By April, it had climbed to $65,000, paced by steady accumulation rather than market mania. Retail participation was limited. Institutional capital remained disciplined. Liquidity conditions stayed tight, and geopolitical risk made investors wary.

Meanwhile, regulators in the United States and Europe pushed through sweeping reforms. Custody rules, staking protocols, and stablecoin operations all came under review. Compliance replaced hype as the dominant narrative.

Investors were no longer chasing returns. They were managing risk..

The Halving: Structurally Significant, Visibly Muted

On April 20, Bitcoin’s block reward fell from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block. This instantly halved the rate of new supply entering the market. Miner revenue dropped. Yet the price barely moved. Volatility fell. Trading volume stayed consistent. It was a clear sign that the halving had already been priced in.

Underneath the surface, however, the shift was real. Bitcoin’s daily new issuance dropped from roughly 900 BTC to 450 BTC, reducing sell pressure by over $40 million per week. Long-term holders started accumulating more aggressively. OTC desks saw renewed interest from sovereign wealth vehicles and private banks.

The Halving: Structurally Significant, Visibly Muted

The Quiet Rally: Late 2024 to Early 2025

The real movement began in Q4 2024. Inflation returned in several emerging markets. The U.S. dollar strengthened, but real rates plateaued. Global portfolios started tilting toward alternatives.

Bitcoin climbed gradually from the mid-$60,000s to the $90,000–$100,000 range. It did so without blow-off tops, without excessive leverage, and without media euphoria. This was a rally built on capital rotation and asymmetric upside, not memes.

Price appreciation was slow, but conviction was deep.

A New Era for Bitcoin

This cycle confirmed what many long suspected. Bitcoin is no longer driven by hype cycles. It is now a macro asset, sensitive to capital flows, monetary policy, and cross-border volatility.

The halving still matters. But its effect has shifted. It is now an inflection point, not a launchpad. It constricts supply just as the global appetite for uncorrelated assets is expanding.

This slow-burn structure gives the asset durability. It reduces tail risk. And it attracts capital that is measured, long-term, and serious.

Three Investor Takeaways

1. Supply shocks work slowly.
The halving did not spark a breakout. It set the stage for long-term scarcity. The effects take quarters, not days.

2. Institutional flows now shape the trend.
Retail sentiment no longer drives the price. Demand comes from capital allocators with long horizons and macro theses.

3. Bitcoin is evolving.
It is transitioning from an opportunistic trade to a strategic hedge against systemic fragility.

Final Thoughts

The 2024 halving did not deliver the moon. What it delivered was maturity.

Bitcoin has become a structural asset with institutional staying power. The rally may not have been immediate, but it was built on conviction, not hype. In a financial world full of noise, Bitcoin’s quiet burn may be its loudest signal yet.

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